Indian LCCs To Grow 25-30% In Domestic Passenger Traffic In Fiscal 2020: CRISIL


it’s no surprise that penetration of low-cost carriers (LCCs) in the domestic aviation market is arguably the highest in the world. LCCs offer a no-frills experience that target flyers willing to sacrifice comforts such as free food. In April this year, LCCs in India led by IndiGo captured nearly 80% of the domestic aviation market, according to data from the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA). IndiGo alone commanded 50% of the market. The LCCs are expected to post a strong double-digit growth of 25-30% in fiscal in domestic passenger traffic, led by robust expansion of domestic capacity by SpiceJet and Indigo. However, non-revival of Jet Airways would curb growth at the industry level. Firmer fares and strong passenger-traffic growth are estimated to propel the earnings before Interest, tax, depreciation, amortisation and lease rentals (EBITDAR) margin of India’s low-cost carriers (LCCs) to 24-25% this fiscal, compared with 15-16% in the last. Fares are expected to rise because of limited capacity additions in the industry since Jet Airways ran aground. With the improvement in EBITDAR margin, the LCCs’ operating cash flows are expected to touch a decadal high of Rs 4,700-5,200 crore this fiscal.